Amid the COVID-19 pandemic and global economic challenges, women are disproportionately fighting unemployment and struggling to survive, as they remain pillars of the family and a foundation of society. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, some 270,000 women left the workforce last month. During the month of December, the economy saw a decrease of 227,000 jobs in the US, with women accounting for 196,000 job losses. Some economists have characterized this as a “she-cession.” The pandemic has also forced many women to choose between caring for their children at home, as schools closed, and working. The gender equality remains a concept in the US and elsewhere. Continue Reading
Mexico continues to face challenges in 2021, as it continues to grapple with economic fallout from the global COVID pandemic and amid policy shifts emanating from the United States, as President Joe Biden assumed the office in January. Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, 67, also tested positive for coronavirus after a recent business trip; he is currently quarantining at the National Palace in Mexico City.
Within his first three days of office, President Biden issued several executive orders. Among these, executive action included halting funding for the construction of the wall along the U.S.-Mexico border and preserving a path forward for those individuals brought illegally to the United States as a child by their parents that are now adults (so called “Dreamers”/ Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals “DACA” program recipients). President Biden also signed letters that had the United States rejoining the Paris Climate Agreement and halted the U.S. withdrawal from the World Health Organization. Notable for Mexico, President Biden appointed Ambassador Roberta Jacobson as his southwest border coordinator within the National Security Council.
President López Obrador spoke with President Biden on January 22, reviewing bilateral cooperation on a range of bilateral and regional issues. The two leaders agreed to work closely to address the flow of migrants from the broader southern region to Mexico and the United States, as well as to promote development in the Northern Triangle of Central America (El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras) to stem this flow. They also recognized the importance of coordinating on COVID-19, which included extending the agreement of keeping the land border closed to non-essential travel until at least February 21, 2021.
Mexico, the second largest economy in Latin America, was resilient prior to COVID and the government continues to seek out opportunities to improve the economy and citizens wellbeing. In January, the Mexican federal government laid out a COVID relief plan that includes providing loans to 60,000 small businesses affected by the coronavirus pandemic. Restaurants and tortillerías (tortilla shops) are among those small businesses able to qualify for the loans of up to 250,000 pesos (US$12,740).
Mexico also continues to expand its market access overseas. This included securing a Trade Continuity Agreement with the United Kingdom (U.K.), as the U.K. transition period from the European Union concluded. Both countries established transitional mechanisms to maintain preferential tariff treatment for Mexican imports in the U.K., effective January 1, 2021. Meanwhile, U.K. imports will be subject to Most Favored Nation (MFN) rates in Mexico. Companies that import U.K. goods into Mexico should take into consideration the impact the impact the transitional mechanisms could represent to their supply chain, as the two countries work to reach a longer-term agreement. Mexico and the U.K. are set to begin negotiations on a new free trade agreement this year.
Within the framework of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), Mexico has been supportive of the United States automobile industry by extending the time to transition and comply with the higher content requirements under the new trade deal, which includes a 75% North American content (compared with a 62.5% threshold under the old North American Free Trade Agreement). Democratic lawmakers in Washington, however, are urging the Biden Administration to keep pressure on Mexico’s labor and environment obligations in the agreement. A group of 122 Democratic lawmakers more recently sent a letter to President Biden urging him to incorporate the Paris Climate Agreement into the USMCA.
In agriculture, Mexico continues to maintain conversations with the U.S. agriculture sector, in hopes of resolving long-standing disagreements on tomatoes, strawberry and bell peppers (seasonal produce) and achieving a deal that supports both economies. While not a dispute, it is expected that avocado imports and consumption will continue to increase in the United States, especially guacamole consumption with the upcoming Super Bowl watching parties (February 7).
Under the Trump Administration, the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) focused on Mexico’s energy sector, signing a letter of interest in 2019 to finance a natural gas pipeline developed by Rassini S.A.B. de C.V. in the country’s southern states. The Biden Administration, however, is moving away from a focus on oil and gas domestically toward green sustainable energy initiatives that align with Paris Climate Agreement targets and goals. It remains to be seen how supportive the Biden Administration will be toward gas pipeline projects in Mexico, including those that have the potential to serve other markets, such as the Northern Triangle countries. Nevertheless, the DFC and the U.S. Export-Import Bank remain a valuable resource for American investments in Mexico, especially those that align with the Mexican government’s economic agenda in 2021.
On November 12, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador announced a bill initiative that, if enacted, will have a significant impact on outsourcing and the use of service entities currently in use to minimize Mexican employee profit-sharing obligations. The initiative includes amendments to the Federal Labor Law, the Social Security Law, the Mexican Tax Code, including changes to income and value added tax regulations, and several others. The President submitted this initiative to Congress and it is expected to pass more or less as proposed. Labor Secretary Luisa María Alcalde said outsourcing hurts workers by allowing companies to avoid granting benefits to subcontracted employees, a local paper reported. She also cited other abusive practices the law aims to curtail, such as companies firing workers before Christmas and rehiring them early in the year to avoid paying year-end bonuses.
Here are the most relevant details of this initiative to the Federal Labor Law:
- It aims to eliminate the subcontracting of personnel, which is defined in the reform proposal as one where an individual or entity provides or makes its own workers available for the benefit of another. Subcontracting specialized services will still be permitted, but these need to be different from those services generally provided by the hiring company. For example, an auto parts manufacturer could subcontract a company to provide canteen and meal services, but not similar manufacturing services.
- Individuals or entities that provide specialized services must have authorization from the Secretary of Labor (STPS). The STPS will make a list of specialized service providers publicly available on the internet. The STPS has four months to issue the general provisions that determine the procedures related to this authorization.
This initiative also includes significant changes to the Social Security (Ley del Seguro Social) and Employee Housing Law (Ley del INFONAVIT), including limiting a company’s employee registration to its principal line of business. This would limit outsourcing companies’ current ability to register employees under the activity of their clients. Under these reforms, companies hiring subcontractors will now be jointly and severally liable for all the labor obligations of the specialized subcontractors they hire. If passed, reforms to the Federal Income Tax Law include limiting a company’s ability to claim a tax deduction for fees to unauthorized service companies.
These reforms could have a significant impact on the maquiladora industry, as well as manufacturing and high-employee services industries. We are monitoring this initiative closely and will update this blog with any developments.
As US citizens go to the polls, Latin American governments, businesses and citizens should examine how a re-elected President Trump or a newly elected Vice- President Biden may shape Western Hemisphere relations.
The results of this election will certainly affect Latin America, as each candidate views the region through fundamentally different lenses. President Trump has taken a transactional approach to foreign and trade policy, emphasizing trade deficits and surpluses while examining bilateral relationships in the context of narrowly defined US interests, such as stemming the flow of migration in the region. Former Vice President Joe Biden believes Latin America’s prosperity and security is fundamentally in the mutual interest of the US, and will adopt a far more comprehensive approach to Western Hemisphere relations.
On Monday, October 5, Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador presented a package of 39 infrastructure projects that he intends to move forward in conjunction with the Mexican private sector. These projects would invest approximately 300 billion pesos in the communications, energy, tourism and water sectors. This announcement represents the reactivation of the previous plan that was presented in November 2019, but postponed by the 2020 global health pandemic. It is estimated that this investment package will represent 1% of Mexico’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and will generate 185,000 jobs, according to Jorge Nuño, spokesman of the Unit of Investments of the Ministry of Finance.
With the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) recently going into effect on July 1, the President of Mexico made his first visit to the United States on Wednesday, July 8. This marks his first visit to the White House and his first foreign trip since taking office in December 2018; it comes ahead of the U.S. election cycle in November. President Andres Manuel López Obrador’s delegation includes Secretary of Foreign Relations Marcelo Ebrard Casaubon; Mexican Ambassador to the United States Martha Bárcena Coqui; Secretary of Economy Graciela Márquez Colín, and the head of the Office of the Presidency, Alfonso Romo Garza. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau declined to join the meeting, which initially had been envisioned as a two-day North American Leaders Summit but has been pared back to one day.
On June 22, 2020, Mexico’s independent antitrust regulator (“COFECE”) filed a legal claim (controversia constitucional) with the nation’s Supreme Court arguing that the Ministry of Energy’s (“SENER”) Agreement setting forth the Policy of Reliability, Safety, Continuity, and Quality of the National Electric System (“Policy”), as published in the Official Gazette of the Federation on May 15, 2020, not only violates articles 16, 28, and 133 of the Mexican Constitution, but also Mexican laws applicable to the energy sector. COFECE asks the Supreme Court to clarify the limits of SENER’s authority “concerning the constitutional principles of competition when [SENER] issues a regulation that severely affects the competitive dynamic[s] of a market.” On June 29, 2020, the Supreme Court agreed with COFECE granting an injunction against the “effects and consequences” of the Policy until the matter is definitively resolved. Continue Reading
On Wednesday, June 10, the Mexican court specialized in economic competition issued an order granting the definitive suspension of the Ministry of Energy’s (“SENER”) Agreement setting forth the Policy of Reliability, Safety, Continuity, and Quality of the National Electric System (“Policy”) and the independent system operator’s (“CENACE”) preoperative testing restrictions. This means that neither the Policy nor CENACE’s restrictions may be further pursued or enforced until a final judicial order on the matter is issued (“Order”). The Order is one of a growing number of judicial orders against the López Obrador administration’s recent attempts to restructure the Mexican electricity market to the detriment of renewable energy producers and outside of the established regulatory and legal parameters.
Since our May 20 blog post, the Energy Regulatory Commission (“CRE”) added its name to the list of agencies disturbing Mexico’s legal and regulatory certainty. Additionally, the López Obrador administration has spent time publicly defending recent Ministry of Energy (“SENER”) and independent system operator (“CENACE”) regulatory changes affecting renewable energy projects.
On the evening of May, 28, 2020, CRE, in extraordinary session, passed two resolutions modifying the tariffs applicable to the transmission services used by “legacy renewable and cogeneration energy contracts” (those contracts executed prior to the 2013 Energy Reforms, “Legacy Contracts”), to bring them to 2018 tariffs. In support of the new tariff structure, the head of the Federal Electricity Commission (“CFE”) publicly asserted that renewable energy engages in unfair competition because they do not pay for access to the grid and get paid even when they do not consistently produce energy. This assertion is incorrect. Although Legacy Contracts receive “preferential” treatment, such projects are required to pay interconnection tariffs, albeit low interconnection tariffs. Legacy Contracts receive preferential treatment because, at the time they were executed, the Mexican government sought to promote renewable energy project development in Mexico. Since renewable energy projects were more expensive to develop versus projects using conventional energy sources, Legacy Contracts enjoyed an economic incentive to development in the form of low interconnection tariffs. Legacy Contracts were also specifically carved-out of the Ley de Industria Electrica’s application, which means the they should continue to enjoy such treatment and be governed by the Ley del Servicio Público de Energía Eléctrica until the end of their term.
The impact of COVID-19 on global economies is being unfolded as we continue to experience the period of prolonged economic uncertainty. As the virus’ epicenter has shifted from Asia to Europe, and now Latin America, financial markets have plummeted and with them sectors such as the project development, infrastructure or construction sector on a worldwide scale. The construction sector, has started to experience the effects of the pandemic, nonetheless, the coming months will unravel the extent to which the effects will affect the sector in Latin America.
As witnessed, the majority of Latin American governments set strict quarantine measures almost at the same time as Europe began its lock down. Along with the international travel bans and internal mobility restrictions, measures to ensure employee health and safety, supply and material delay have decreased the expectations for the rest of 2020 and upcoming years. These factors have meant a major setback for the construction sector at all levels, from project planning, to proposals and bidding, to the most affected of all, ongoing construction projects. The impossibility of workers to go on site given lock down provisions, health and safety adjustment in the work place and job cuts, have slowed down the sector.
For Latin American workers, household incomes have reduced dramatically, causing a decrease and slow-down in the development of the local economy. As a response, the majority of Latin American governments have put in place stimulus packages with special focus in infrastructure and construction sectors as key areas of investment to get the economy back on track. In addition, mobility restrictive measures such as quarantines, have been eased for construction, maintenance or other project development purposes, in both private and public ventures in order for employees to attend the work sites, as well as for companies to continue carrying out their activities in order to meet execution dates, installments and deadlines. For companies, this means the possibility of executing projects within the foreseen terms, avoid entering into default and securing payment and cash flow to pay both employees and suppliers.
The region is also calling for a “green” recovery and a promotion of technological infrastructure with a special focus on improving or developing ports, roads, railways and transportation facilities. These go along with both multilateral organizations and investors looking over to align the projects with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.